Sport
MediumFresh
Will Jelena Ostapenko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.8ppVol $11KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,959 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 181-216 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $11KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.7ppVol $11KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Yulia Putintseva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $11KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
-0.9ppVol $11KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.6ppVol $10KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $10KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
97%
-1.1ppVol $10KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -2.6pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
5%
-2.6ppVol $10KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+1.0ppVol $10KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.3ppVol $9KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
LowStale data
Will Cameron Norrie be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $9KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $9KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $9KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.9pp).
Stable consensus
4%
+0.9ppVol $9KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
3%
+0.5ppVol $9KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.1ppVol $9KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $9KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $9KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +4.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
89%
+4.3ppVol $9KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Colombia be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $8KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $8KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $8KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Ashlyn Krueger be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.3ppVol $8KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
6%
-0.6ppVol $8KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Ons Jabeur be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $8KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Included because probability moved +1.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
59%
+1.9ppVol $8KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.1ppVol $8KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Marie Bouzková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
+0.5ppVol $8KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $8KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
84%
-0.5ppVol $8KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppVol $8KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Included because probability moved +5.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
+5.2ppVol $8KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $8KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $8KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $8KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp439 markets with notable movementCombined activity $68.7M
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