Sport
LowStale data
Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.1ppVol $505KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 188 matching sport markets.
Showing 37-72 of 188 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
LowStale data
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $498KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
Vol $330KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $220KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved -5.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
39%
-5.3ppVol $214KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $201KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Drake Baldwin have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $192KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-1.0ppVol $179KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $172KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
4%
-0.1ppVol $163KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved -1.6pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
1%
-1.6ppVol $157KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
8%
+0.3ppVol $147KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Cape Verde reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.2ppVol $145KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included because probability moved +8.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
+8.5ppVol $141KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
2%
+0.3ppVol $138KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.6pp.
High activity
4%
+0.6ppVol $133KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved -11.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
17%
-11.2ppVol $117KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Included because probability moved +10.2pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
18%
+10.2ppVol $108KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
41%
+0.3ppVol $105KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Jordan Walker have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $94KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+4.1ppVol $93KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Andy Pages have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.5ppVol $93KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.4pp.
High activity
3%
-0.4ppVol $87KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $80KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.3ppVol $77KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.5pp.
High activity
39%
-0.5ppVol $72KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.05pp.
High activity
1%
+0.05ppVol $71KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $66KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $65KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Elina Svitolina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-3.1ppVol $62KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumStale data
Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
13%
-35.7ppVol $61KCloses 1 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only +0.3pp.
High activity
12%
+0.3ppVol $60KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.1pp.
High activity
1%
-0.1ppVol $59KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-1.8ppVol $58KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Included as high activity, not a mover. probability changed only -0.6pp.
High activity
2%
-0.6ppVol $58KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.1ppVol $55KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $244.1M
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