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Sport

Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?

13%Stale dataStale / needs refresh-35.7pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (down 35.7pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

13%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is down 35.7pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
13.3%
No implied probability
86.8%
Liquidity
$153
Market Activity
$62K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
26 Jun 2026, 22:38 UTC
View on Polymarket

AI Market Brief

AI brief generated from stored market data at 26 Jun 2026, 22:48 UTC

What this market asks

Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?

Current market read

This market is about whether Beşiktaş Gain will be named the champion of the Turkey BSL. The current market-implied probability is 13.25%, with a 24h movement of -35.7 percentage points. Because this is one outcome within the broader "Turkey BSL: Winner" event, the volume and liquidity shown here reflect this outcome's market activity only.

Key takeaways

  • This outcome's market activity shows 24h volume of 61,498 and total volume of 61,503.
  • The current market-implied probability is 13.25%, alongside a large 24h decline of 35.7 percentage points.
  • As a grouped outcome in the Turkey BSL: Winner event, the figures apply to Beşiktaş Gain only.

Risks & uncertainties

  • The current market-implied probability is low at 13.25%.
  • The 24h movement is large and negative at -35.7 percentage points.
  • Resolution depends on the Turkey BSL outcome rules and the stated deadline; no separate resolution-source field is stored.

Resolution summary

The market resolves to "Yes" if the listed team, Beşiktaş Gain, is determined to be the champion of the Turkey BSL. It resolves to "No" if that becomes impossible under Turkey BSL rules, including elimination, or if another outcome applies under the stated rules. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared by then, it resolves to "Other". No separate resolution-source field is stored; resolution details are based on the market description.

Built from stored Polymarket market data. No external news feed.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Turkey BSL. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Turkey BSL per the rules of Turkey BSL (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Turkey BSL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 1 Dec 2026, 03:59 UTC

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