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Last recorded probability
100%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
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100%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Oct 2026, 03:59 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | 100.0% | +0.3pp | $521K | awaiting resolution |
| Golden State Warriors | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Miami Heat | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| San Antonio Spurs | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Denver Nuggets | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Washington Wizards | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Atlanta Hawks | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| New York Knicks | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Boston Celtics | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Houston Rockets | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Detroit Pistons | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Indiana Pacers | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Orlando Magic | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Toronto Raptors | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Utah Jazz | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.