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Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 12 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 100.0% | +18.4pp | $466K | resolved |
| Alexander Zverev | 0.1% | -18.8pp | $451K | resolved |
| Novak Djokovic | 0.0% | -11.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| João Fonseca | 0.0% | -1.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Arthur Fery | 0.0% | -2.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Taylor Fritz | 0.0% | -9.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0.0% | -2.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alexander Bublik | 0.0% | -1.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Arthur Fils | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Lorenzo Sonego | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0.0% | -1.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Félix Auger-Aliassime | 0.0% | -3.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Andrey Rublev | 0.0% | -0.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0.0% | -3.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jakub Menšík | 0.0% | -1.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tommy Paul | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alex de Minaur | 0.0% | -2.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jiří Lehečka | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ben Shelton | 0.0% | -4.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Karen Khachanov | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Gabriel Diallo | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Francisco Cerúndolo | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jack Draper | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Casper Ruud | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alex Michelsen | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ugo Humbert | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tallon Griekspoor | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alexei Popyrin | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Marin Čilić | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cameron Norrie | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tomáš Macháč | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sebastian Korda | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Nicolás Jarry | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.