Politics
MediumFresh
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2.1MCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 101 matching politics markets.
Showing 1-36 of 101 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $1.5MCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $875KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.1ppVol $668KCloses 29 Jul 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $542KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.3ppVol $400KCloses —
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $395KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $390KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $307KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $296KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $281KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $272KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $214KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $203KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $200KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $183KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $159KCloses 29 Jul 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $133KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $131KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $114KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
Vol $111KCloses 29 Jul 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $107KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumStale data
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-5.0ppVol $61KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $54KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $51KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $39KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $38KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $38KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $37KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $36KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $34KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $34KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $30KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $29KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $28KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $28KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Avg 24h move 1.7pp372 markets with notable movementCombined activity $418.5M
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