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EventAlpha is an independent information and research product, not a trading platform. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Polymarket. EventAlpha uses third-party market data that may be delayed, incomplete, or unavailable. Nothing shown is financial advice or a guarantee of any outcome.

Geopolitics Polymarket Markets — EventAlpha

Geopolitics

Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.

195 markets in scope in this category.

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Toss-ups Big movers High activity Closing soon Near-certain

Showing 1 of 1 matching geopolitics markets.

Markets in this category

Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.

Geopolitics

Signal: MediumMarket data current

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?

Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.

Meaningful move

41%

Avg 24h move 1.4pp20 markets with notable movementCombined lifetime volume $49K

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↘-1.0pp

24h activity $527Closes 1 Jan 2027