Geopolitics
LowStale data
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.4ppVol $2.9MCloses 31 Jul 2026
Category
Geopolitics
Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.
327 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 6 of 6 matching geopolitics markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Geopolitics
LowStale data
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.3ppVol $1.8MCloses 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.3ppVol $1.7MCloses 31 Aug 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.4ppVol $1.6MCloses 31 Oct 2026
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.5ppVol $33KCloses 31 Jul 2026
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $12KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 1.5pp43 markets with notable movementCombined activity $34.7M
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