Finance
MediumFresh
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-2.1ppVol $61Closes 23 Jul 2026
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching finance markets.
Showing 289-324 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
MediumFresh
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.5%?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
1%
-0.3ppVol $61Closes 23 Jul 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
0%
-0.3ppVol $61Closes 23 Jul 2026
Finance
HighFresh
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
22%
-1.5ppVol $61Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
71%
+4.5ppVol $60Closes 29 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
20%
+0.3ppVol $59Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.5ppVol $58Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-4.5ppVol $58Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.1ppVol $58Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $56Closes 12 Feb 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
26%
-0.6ppVol $54Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
16%
-0.5ppVol $53Closes 12 Feb 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.60 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
-1.5ppVol $53Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
HighFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
Included because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
-1.5ppVol $53Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppVol $53Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Morgan Stanley fail by end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.1ppVol $50Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
32%
-0.6ppVol $50Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
57%
Vol $47Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
-2.5ppVol $45Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
6%
-0.05ppVol $43Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +25.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
10%
-25.0ppVol $42Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 130 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-6.0ppVol $41Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
19%
Vol $38Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
70%
+8.0ppVol $37Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
11%
-1.0ppVol $36Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.9pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.9ppVol $34Closes 10 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $34Closes 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 190 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
5%
-3.5ppVol $33Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
19%
+5.0ppVol $33Closes 12 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.5ppVol $32Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Discord IPO before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
48%
-3.4ppVol $29Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
12%
-0.5ppVol $27Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 18,000 in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
14%
+1.0ppVol $24Closes 1 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
19%
Vol $21Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
5%
Vol $21Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
21%
Vol $20Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp100 markets with notable movementCombined activity $2.6M
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