Finance
MediumFresh
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
19%
Vol $21Closes 31 Dec 2026
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching finance markets.
Showing 325-360 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
5%
Vol $21Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
89%
-3.0ppVol $20Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
-6.0ppVol $18Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
10%
+0.3ppVol $16Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
34%
-2.5ppVol $14Closes 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
19%
+0.3ppVol $13Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-1.3ppVol $13Closes 12 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
7%
Vol $10Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
UK Recession in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
28%
+0.5ppVol $10Closes 31 Mar 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +8.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
-8.5ppVol $9Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
22%
+1.5ppVol $9Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +15.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+15.5ppVol $9Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowStale data
Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
88%
Vol $6Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Canva IPO before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
9%
Vol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
75%
+2.5ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.05ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
22%
Vol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
11%
-0.5ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
-5.0ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.05ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.9pp).
Stable consensus
6%
-0.9ppVol $5Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +3.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
+3.8ppVol $5Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
5%
-6.5ppVol $5Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
6%
-2.1ppVol $5Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
28%
Vol $5Closes 18 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.20 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +21.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-21.5ppVol $4Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-1.0ppVol $3Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
78%
-1.0ppVol $3Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
9%
Vol $2Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
44%
+1.0ppVol $2Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
3%
-0.1ppVol $2Closes 28 Feb 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 190 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
5%
-2.5ppVol $2Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
5%
+0.05ppVol $1Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will GBP/USD hit 1.55 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
10%
-0.5ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+4.5ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp99 markets with notable movementCombined activity $4.4M
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