Finance
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
+1.0ppVol $795Closes 31 Dec 2026
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching finance markets.
Showing 181-216 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
32%
-0.7ppVol $789Closes 15 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will US Bank fail by end of 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.2pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
2%
-1.2ppVol $776Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.74%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
14%
+0.1ppVol $768Closes 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will BMO fail by end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.1ppVol $765Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-5.5ppVol $763Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 140 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-2.5ppVol $760Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
8%
Vol $744Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 3.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $699Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.1ppVol $688Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
15%
-0.5ppVol $679Closes 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B?
Low-confidence: move is +9.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-9.5ppVol $664Closes 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 2.50%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
5%
-2.6ppVol $639Closes 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.4ppVol $614Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-2.5ppVol $591Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
10%
+3.0ppVol $582Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
+3.5ppVol $556Closes 23 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $551Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
11%
Vol $547Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/KRW hit 1650 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-1.0ppVol $542Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 2.9% and 3.2% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
12%
-2.2ppVol $540Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
35%
-0.7ppVol $535Closes 16 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
95%
-0.1ppVol $535Closes 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.6% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $532Closes 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 3.5% and 3.8% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
13%
-0.4ppVol $527Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.8pp).
Stable consensus
10%
+0.8ppVol $522Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
8%
+0.7ppVol $504Closes 8 Jan 2027
Finance
HighFresh
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Included because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
74%
-2.0ppVol $504Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
63%
-1.0ppVol $497Closes 16 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-1.5ppVol $496Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
8%
-0.3ppVol $478Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.50% and 2.24%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $463Closes 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
11%
-0.2ppVol $461Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.1% and 2.3%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
9%
Vol $441Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+1.5ppVol $438Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
3%
-0.5ppVol $437Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 2.9pp99 markets with notable movementCombined activity $2.8M
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