Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
3%
-0.7ppVol $2KCloses 31 Jan 2027
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching finance markets.
Showing 145-180 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
14%
+2.1ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.5%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
+1.4ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
8%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
3%
-0.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 1.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
4%
-0.6ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.2% and 2.4%?
Low-confidence: move is +5.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
25%
-5.2ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
+3.5ppVol $1KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
19%
-2.5ppVol $1KCloses 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be at least 7.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.2ppVol $1KCloses 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
9%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.05ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumStale data
Will USD/CAD hit 1.42 (High) in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
98%
+10.6ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/KRW hit 1600 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-1.0ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
Low-confidence: move is +21.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
-21.5ppVol $999Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
6%
Vol $965Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
37%
Vol $935Closes 24 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be less than 0.75%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
6%
-0.1ppVol $911Closes 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
-7.0ppVol $906Closes 12 Feb 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the US economy have slack at the end of 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-4.2ppVol $903Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-1.6ppVol $900Closes 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
30%
-0.4ppVol $889Closes 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
15%
-1.5ppVol $850Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.1ppVol $844Closes 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.7%+ in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
5%
+0.1ppVol $825Closes 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
52%
-4.3ppVol $825Closes 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 180 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
11%
Vol $808Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $806Closes 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Low-confidence: move is +3.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
-3.4ppVol $804Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
14%
-0.5ppVol $803Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%?
Low-confidence: move is +11.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
28%
+11.6ppVol $801Closes 12 Feb 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
10%
+0.5ppVol $800Closes 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
9%
-0.7ppVol $797Closes 29 Jul 2026
Finance
HighFresh
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
+1.0ppVol $795Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 3.0pp108 markets with notable movementCombined activity $3.0M
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