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EventAlpha is an independent information and research product, not a trading platform. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Polymarket. EventAlpha uses third-party market data that may be delayed, incomplete, or unavailable. Nothing shown is financial advice or a guarantee of any outcome.

Finance Polymarket Markets — EventAlpha

Finance

Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.

523 markets in scope in this category.

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Toss-ups Big movers High activity Closing soon Near-certain

Showing 4 of 4 matching finance markets.

Markets in this category

Ranked by absolute 24h probability movement.

Finance

Signal: HighMarket data current

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Included because probability moved +3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

89%

Avg 24h move 1.8pp76 markets with notable movementCombined lifetime volume $4.9M

Back to homepage analytics

↗+3.5pp

24h activity $10KCloses 1 Jan 2027

Finance

Signal: HighMarket data current

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

Included because probability moved -4.8pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

22%

↘-4.8pp

24h activity $11KCloses 1 Jan 2027

Finance

Signal: HighMarket data current

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

↘-1.0pp

24h activity $31KCloses 31 Dec 2026

Finance

Signal: HighMarket data current

US recession by end of 2026?

Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.

Meaningful move

↘-1.0pp

24h activity $15KCloses 31 Jan 2027