Crypto
MediumStale data
Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
4%
+3.1ppVol $311Closes 1 Oct 2026
Category
Crypto
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching crypto markets.
Showing 145-180 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
3%
Vol $306Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
32%
-8.0ppVol $301Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
56%
-0.5ppVol $294Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
5%
-0.6ppVol $288Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
22%
-0.5ppVol $286Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
80%
-5.0ppVol $281Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
22%
-4.5ppVol $271Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
85%
-1.0ppVol $265Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
5%
Vol $259Closes 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
LowStale data
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.1ppVol $256Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
HighFresh
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -1.1pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
-1.1ppVol $251Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved +1.9pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
+1.9ppVol $241Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
24%
+0.5ppVol $238Closes —
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +30.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-30.0ppVol $235Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
31%
-0.05ppVol $235Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +9.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
+9.0ppVol $233Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
13%
+0.5ppVol $230Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-2.0ppVol $222Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
HighFresh
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
15%
+5.0ppVol $220Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
Included because probability moved -4.5pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
48%
-4.5ppVol $219Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
53%
-0.5ppVol $215Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
MediumFresh
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
74%
-0.5ppVol $215Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +13.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
14%
-13.0ppVol $202Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowStale data
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.3ppVol $200Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.05ppVol $200Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
15%
+4.0ppVol $199Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
6%
-0.3ppVol $197Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
2%
Vol $190Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowStale data
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
Vol $184Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
12%
-2.5ppVol $181Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowStale data
Arcium FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
Vol $173Closes 1 Jan 2028
Crypto
LowFresh
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
77%
-2.0ppVol $172Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
MediumFresh
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
5%
Vol $170Closes 31 Dec 2026
Crypto
HighFresh
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
29%
+1.0ppVol $170Closes 1 Jan 2027
Crypto
LowFresh
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
+1.5ppVol $167Closes 1 Jan 2027
Avg 24h move 3.6pp284 markets with notable movementCombined activity $6.0M
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