Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Low-confidence: move is +1.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-1.9ppCategory
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching crypto markets.
Showing 181-216 of 360 markets.
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Low-confidence: move is +1.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
-1.9ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
77%
-2.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
5%
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
+1.5ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.05ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.4ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
92%
+0.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
31%
-0.1ppIncluded because probability moved +4.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
29%
+4.0ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.05ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
9%
-0.05ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.4pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.4ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
+0.6ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
98%
-0.05ppLow-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
6%
-2.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
5%
+0.6ppLow-confidence: move is +18.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-18.7ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
54%
+4.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
19%
+0.5ppLow-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
11%
-5.0ppIncluded because probability moved -2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
70%
-2.5ppLow-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
15%
-1.5ppIncluded because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
58%
+1.5ppIncluded because probability moved +2.6pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
13%
+2.6ppIncluded because probability moved -4.0pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
7%
-4.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
78%
-0.5ppLow-confidence: move is +2.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
+2.3ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
10%
+2.0ppLow-confidence: move is +8.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
25%
-8.5ppLow-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
-2.5ppIncluded because probability moved -3.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
23%
-3.5ppLow-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
+2.0ppLow-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
51%
+7.0pp