Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
73%
-1.0ppCategory
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching crypto markets.
Showing 109-144 of 360 markets.
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Included because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
73%
-1.0ppIncluded because probability moved +1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
47%
+1.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
80%
Low-confidence: move is +3.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
24%
+3.3ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
-0.05ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
6%
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
-2.0ppLow-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
11%
+2.5ppIncluded because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
14%
-1.0ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.1ppIncluded because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
12%
-1.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
3%
-0.2ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
41%
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
+3.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
14%
+0.5ppIncluded because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
-1.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.7ppIncluded because probability moved -2.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
2%
-2.3ppIncluded because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
61%
+2.5ppLow-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
31%
-1.0ppLow-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-2.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
9%
-0.7ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
7%
-0.7ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
5%
Low-confidence: move is +12.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
61%
+12.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
13%
+0.5ppLow-confidence: move is +1.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
5%
-1.4ppLow-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
+2.0ppLow-confidence: move is +8.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
73%
-8.4ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.3ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
24%
+0.5ppIncluded because probability moved +2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
49%
+2.5ppLow-confidence: move is +4.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
7%
+4.3pp