Cap FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppCategory
Market-implied probability analytics for digital assets, regulation, and milestone events.
922 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching crypto markets.
Showing 73-108 of 360 markets.
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
36%
+19.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
97%
+0.1ppIncluded because probability moved -1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
31%
-1.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
14%
-0.5ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.2ppLow-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+2.5ppIncluded because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
29%
+1.0ppIncluded because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
30%
+1.0ppLow-confidence: move is +7.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
-7.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
2%
Included because probability moved -5.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
72%
-5.5ppIncluded because probability moved -1.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
-1.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
8%
+0.5ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
-0.05ppExcluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+0.05ppIncluded because probability moved +2.3pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
8%
+2.3ppIncluded because probability moved -2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
32%
-2.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
87%
Low-confidence: move is +6.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+6.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
95%
-0.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
8%
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
62%
Low-confidence: move is +6.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
34%
-6.0ppLow-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
11%
-1.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
98%
+0.1ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.1ppIncluded because probability moved +2.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
44%
+2.0ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
39%
+0.5ppIncluded because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
87%
+1.0ppIncluded because probability moved +6.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
74%
+6.0ppIncluded because probability moved -2.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
27%
-2.5ppLow-confidence: move is +1.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
+1.8ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
11%
+0.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
6%
+0.5ppStable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
11%
+0.5pp