Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
16%
Limited history+5.5pp
24h activity $7KCloses 26 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 3% probability for this outcome, a -1.1pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
3%Recent probability movement (down 1.1pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
3%
24h Change
-1.1pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.1pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Longhorns | 15.5% | +5.5pp | $14K | active |
| LSU Tigers | 14.9% | +6.8pp | $13K | active |
| Michigan Wolverines | 0.5% | +0.1pp | $12K | active |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 1.2% | -0.7pp | $11K | active |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 14.5% | — | $13K | active |
| Oregon Ducks | 3.1% | -10.6pp | $14K | active |
| Georgia Bulldogs | 10.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Ohio State Buckeyes | 11.5% | -0.5pp | $14K | active |
| Miami Hurricanes | 12.9% | +0.5pp | $15K | active |
| Mississippi Rebels | 0.7% | -0.3pp | $17K | active |
| Florida Gators | 0.5% | — | $19K | active |
| Texas A&M Aggies | 1.9% | -0.1pp | $9K | active |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 10.8% | -0.05pp | $18K | active |
| USC Trojans | 2.8% | -1.1pp | $10K | active |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.7% | -1.2pp | $16K | active |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.8% | -1.1pp | $10K | active |
Probability sum: 102.4% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 26 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
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