Crypto
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?
6%
Limited history+1.1pp
24h activity $400Closes 1 Jan 2027
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 66% probability for this outcome, a +42.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
66%Probability moved sharply over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.
Signal: LowCurrent
66%
24h Change
+42.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 42.0pp. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read; liquidity is $2K and 24h activity is $2K. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 8.00 | 65.5% | +42.0pp | $2K | active |
| ↑ 14.00 | 6.3% | +1.1pp | $2K | active |
| ↑ 9.50 | 15.5% | +5.0pp | $1K | active |
| ↓ 2.00 | 7.0% | +1.5pp | $41 | active |
| ↑ 11.00 | 11.0% | — | $2K | active |
| ↓ 3.00 | 16.5% | +0.5pp | $9 | active |
| ↑ 15.50 | 5.5% | — | $3K | active |
| ↑ 12.50 | 7.0% | — | $3K | active |
| ↑ 6.50 | 65.2% | -0.3pp | $1K | active |
| ↓ 4.00 | 54.5% | — | $3K | active |
| ↑ 6.50 | 100.0% | +9.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 3.00 | 100.0% | +35.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 6.00 | 100.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 4.50 | 100.0% | +0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↑ 5.00 | 100.0% | +23.4pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Uniswap (UNI/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the UNI/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/UNI_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance UNI/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
6%
16%
7%
11%
17%
6%