EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will there be 8+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?

25%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 04:01 UTCLow-confidence move-2.0pp (24h)

Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

25%

24h Change

-2.0pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

9

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 2.0pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $66 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
25.0%
No implied probability
75.0%
Liquidity
$66
Market Activity
$0
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 04:01 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason) equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If no no-hitters are thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason), the market will resolve to “No”. A ‘no-hitter’ is a complete game in which a pitcher(s) yields no hits to the opposing team. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “no-hitters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

Related Markets

Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.