Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will there be 9+ no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season?
24%
Limited history+9.8pp
Lifetime volume $205Closes 28 Sept 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 27% probability for this outcome, a -2.0pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
27%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
27%
24h Change
-2.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 2.0pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $71 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9+ | 23.8% | +9.8pp | $143 | active |
| 7+ | 27.0% | -2.0pp | $71 | active |
| 10+ | 21.1% | +1.1pp | $72 | active |
| 8+ | 25.8% | -0.5pp | $60 | active |
| 6+ | 36.0% | — | $39 | active |
| 5+ | 42.0% | +0.5pp | $29 | active |
| 2+ | 50.0% | — | $4 | active |
| 3+ | 48.5% | — | $3 | active |
| 4+ | 49.0% | -0.5pp | $2 | active |
| 1+ | 100.0% | +45.5pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of no-hitters thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason) equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No” If no no-hitters are thrown during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason), the market will resolve to “No”. A ‘no-hitter’ is a complete game in which a pitcher(s) yields no hits to the opposing team. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “no-hitters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
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