Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will the Seattle Mariners clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
5%
Limited history+1.4pp
24h activity $429Closes 28 Sept 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 1% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
1%24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
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This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | 4.8% | +1.4pp | $5K | active |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 36.5% | +4.0pp | $6K | active |
| Baltimore Orioles | 3.9% | +0.5pp | $5K | active |
| Chicago White Sox | 84.0% | -2.5pp | $3K | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 99.2% | +0.05pp | $10K | active |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 4.0% | +1.0pp | $8K | active |
| Boston Red Sox | 99.8% | — | $4K | active |
| Houston Astros | 87.5% | +5.0pp | $3K | active |
| San Diego Padres | 56.5% | +1.5pp | $5K | active |
| Cleveland Guardians | 56.0% | -4.5pp | $2K | active |
| Texas Rangers | 26.5% | -1.0pp | $8K | active |
| Chicago Cubs | 96.3% | -1.4pp | $5K | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 42.0% | -3.5pp | $2K | active |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 2.8% | -0.8pp | $14K | active |
| Washington Nationals | 0.6% | — | $9K | active |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.6% | -0.05pp | $5K | active |
| Minnesota Twins | 3.8% | +0.1pp | $5K | active |
| Miami Marlins | 1.4% | — | $4K | active |
| New York Yankees | 99.3% | +0.3pp | $5K | active |
| New York Mets | 0.7% | -0.5pp | $10K | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 100.0% | +0.05pp | $4K | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 99.8% | — | $8K | active |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.8% | -3.3pp | $4K | active |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 99.2% | +0.1pp | $5K | active |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 99.9% | — | $4K | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.5% | — | $4K | active |
| Athletics | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
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4%
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99%
4%