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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome. Figures may lag the live source market.
Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
0.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 13 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | 36.9% | +28.4pp | $46K | active |
| Alexander Zverev | 49.9% | +22.9pp | $73K | active |
| Karen Khachanov | 6.4% | +4.0pp | $91K | active |
| Frances Tiafoe | 8.8% | +4.5pp | $61K | active |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0.0% | -56.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Casper Ruud | 0.1% | — | $43K | resolved |
| Alexander Blockx | 0.0% | -1.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Novak Djokovic | 0.0% | -9.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0.0% | -6.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | 0.0% | -3.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Taylor Fritz | 0.0% | -10.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Arthur Fils | 0.0% | -7.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0.0% | -1.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jakub Mensik | 0.0% | -2.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0.0% | -1.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Joao Fonseca | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Learner Tien | 0.0% | -3.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jannik Sinner | 0.0% | -35.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Andrey Rublev | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alex Michelsen | 0.0% | -1.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alexander Bublik | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Jack Draper | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Tommy Paul | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Luciano Darderi | 0.0% | -0.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Brandon Nakashima | 0.0% | -2.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alex de Minaur | 0.0% | -1.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Rafael Jodar | 0.0% | -5.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Arthur Rinderknech | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Valentin Vacherot | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Holger Rune | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Mariano Navone | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Zizou Bergs | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ignacio Buse | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Jaume Munar | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Gael Monfils | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Ugo Humbert | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Sebastian Baez | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Nuno Borges | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 102.0% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)