Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,959 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching sport markets.
Showing 217-252 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
96%
+0.05ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
4%
Vol $7KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $7KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Maya Joint be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.1ppVol $7KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
11%
-0.5ppVol $7KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Included because probability moved +1.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
24%
+1.0ppVol $7KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a player representing Egypt be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $7KCloses 20 Aug 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Included because probability moved -1.8pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
-1.8ppVol $7KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $7KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $7KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $7KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Low-confidence: move is +29.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
51%
-29.5ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved -16.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
3%
-16.0ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $6KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $6KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Algeria reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
2%
+0.9ppVol $6KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.9pp).
Stable consensus
3%
-0.9ppVol $6KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
Vol $6KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
95%
-0.7ppVol $6KCloses 20 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
95%
+0.3ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.3ppVol $6KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $6KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Included because probability moved +3.6pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
10%
+3.6ppVol $6KCloses 6 Dec 2026
Sport
HighFresh
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Included because probability moved +4.5pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
74%
+4.5ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.1ppVol $6KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.3ppVol $6KCloses 31 Oct 2026
Sport
LowStale data
Will Diana Shnaider be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
2%
+0.9ppVol $6KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
2%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Sport
LowStale data
Will Alex Michelsen be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $6KCloses 12 Jul 2026
Avg 24h move 3.0pp433 markets with notable movementCombined activity $37.9M
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