Sport
LowFresh
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
49%
-1.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Sport
Tournament and season outcome probability movement across major leagues.
2,957 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 230 matching sport markets.
Showing 37-72 of 230 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Sport
HighFresh
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Included because probability moved +5.0pp with fresh data and high signal quality.
Meaningful move
46%
+5.0ppVol $2KCloses 1 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?
Low-confidence: move is +12.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
59%
+12.0ppVol $2KCloses 20 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-5.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
38%
+0.5ppVol $1KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.9pp).
Stable consensus
39%
-0.9ppVol $1KCloses 19 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
50%
+0.5ppVol $1KCloses 20 Dec 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
59%
+0.5ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jul 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Houston Texans win the 2026 AFC South?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
43%
Vol $1KCloses 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
47%
Vol $1KCloses 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +29.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+29.5ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
-2.5ppVol $1KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
38%
-0.5ppVol $947Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
47%
Vol $799Closes 11 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Sporting CP next?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
44%
-2.5ppVol $550Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?
Low-confidence: move is +1.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+1.9ppVol $544Closes 1 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
Low-confidence: move is +2.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
42%
+2.0ppVol $514Closes 11 Oct 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2026 AFC North?
Low-confidence: move is +11.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+11.5ppVol $465Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
45%
Vol $459Closes —
Sport
LowFresh
Will George Pickens play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-5.5ppVol $408Closes 1 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Los Angeles Rams in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +5.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
36%
-5.4ppVol $404Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Detroit Lions in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +1.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-1.6ppVol $399Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for CF Montréal next?
Low-confidence: move is +7.7pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-7.7ppVol $346Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dayne St. Clair win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+4.5ppVol $344Closes 22 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +21.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
45%
+21.4ppVol $344Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +8.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+8.2ppVol $340Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
56%
Vol $331Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Low-confidence: move is +34.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
+34.9ppVol $304Closes 15 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?
Low-confidence: move is +7.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-7.3ppVol $302Closes 11 Oct 2026
Sport
MediumFresh
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
44%
+0.7ppVol $287Closes 12 Nov 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Columbus Crew next?
Low-confidence: move is +36.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
40%
+36.8ppVol $284Closes 31 Aug 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
37%
Vol $267Closes 4 Jan 2027
Sport
LowFresh
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
58%
-5.5ppVol $253Closes 28 Sept 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
39%
-0.5ppVol $224Closes 12 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Nikita Krylov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
46%
+0.7ppVol $204Closes 31 Dec 2026
Sport
LowFresh
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Sporting Kansas City next?
Low-confidence: move is +5.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
46%
+5.5ppVol $186Closes 31 Aug 2026
Avg 24h move 3.1pp451 markets with notable movementCombined activity $264K
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