Finance
MediumFresh
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
6%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching finance markets.
Showing 109-144 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.1ppVol $3KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
78%
+0.1ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
+1.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.5% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.1pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
4%
-1.1ppVol $3KCloses 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
9%
-0.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.9pp).
Stable consensus
4%
+0.9ppVol $3KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
20%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Japan recession in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
15%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.2ppVol $3KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowStale data
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.4ppVol $3KCloses 29 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.05ppVol $3KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
+1.0ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.8pp).
Stable consensus
11%
+0.8ppVol $3KCloses 29 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.6ppVol $3KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.12 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
65%
-1.5ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
17%
-1.8ppVol $3KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
30%
Vol $2KCloses 9 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.2ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
3%
Vol $2KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
34%
+2.5ppVol $2KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
1%
-1.3ppVol $2KCloses 29 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
15%
+0.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +5.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
14%
-5.8ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
38%
-4.5ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +15.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
25%
+15.3ppVol $2KCloses 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
89%
Vol $2KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
7%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
MediumFresh
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.5pp).
Stable consensus
62%
-0.5ppVol $2KCloses 24 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
90%
Vol $2KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
12%
-0.7ppVol $2KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.3ppVol $2KCloses 31 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.1ppVol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
11%
-1.8ppVol $1KCloses 19 Jan 2027
Avg 24h move 3.0pp102 markets with notable movementCombined activity $6.8M
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