Finance
LowFresh
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
45%
Vol $7KCloses 28 Feb 2027
Category
Finance
Macro, rates, and equity benchmark probability signals from prediction markets.
586 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching finance markets.
Showing 73-108 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Finance
LowFresh
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
-4.0ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
9%
-2.4ppVol $7KCloses 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
5%
-0.05ppVol $6KCloses 20 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.90% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +7.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
60%
+7.0ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
6%
+0.1ppVol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/CAD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
45%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $6KCloses 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
54%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
UK Recession in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
28%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Mar 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
Low-confidence: move is +2.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
+2.2ppVol $6KCloses 12 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 5.50%?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
12%
-4.0ppVol $5KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
12%
Vol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
18%
-1.0ppVol $5KCloses 1 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $5KCloses 12 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
5%
+0.7ppVol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $5KCloses 12 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumStale data
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-1.1ppVol $5KCloses 29 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.6pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
3%
+1.6ppVol $5KCloses 29 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.2pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
10%
-1.2ppVol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.50% and 2.99%?
Low-confidence: move is +7.8pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-7.8ppVol $4KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.6% and 2.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
5%
+0.1ppVol $4KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will EUR/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +1.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
8%
+1.5ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
2%
Vol $4KCloses 12 Jan 2027
Finance
MediumFresh
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.2ppVol $4KCloses 24 Jul 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.6pp).
Stable consensus
3%
+0.6ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will USD/JPY hit 170 (High) in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +2.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
23%
+2.5ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
2%
+0.3ppVol $4KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
88%
Vol $4KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
41%
-1.0ppVol $4KCloses 10 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
23%
Vol $4KCloses 8 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.4% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
2%
-0.05ppVol $4KCloses 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.4pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
4%
-1.4ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
3%
Vol $4KCloses 15 Jan 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +1.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
22%
+1.0ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2027
Finance
LowFresh
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
28%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 3.0pp106 markets with notable movementCombined activity $256K
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