Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will the Chicago Cubs win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
4%
Limited history-1.0pp
24h activity $82Closes 28 Sept 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 5% probability for this outcome, a -0.7pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
5%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
5%
24h Change
-0.7pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.7pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $2K and 24h activity is $76. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 3.8% | -1.0pp | $2K | active |
| New York Yankees | 4.9% | -0.7pp | $2K | active |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 37.0% | -0.5pp | $2K | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 8.5% | -1.5pp | $2K | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 39.5% | -10.0pp | $837 | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 2.9% | -3.0pp | $413 | active |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 9.5% | -1.5pp | $1K | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Boston Red Sox | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Texas Rangers | 0.0% | -1.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| San Diego Padres | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| New York Mets | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Washington Nationals | 0.0% | -2.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Chicago White Sox | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.0% | -3.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Seattle Mariners | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Athletics | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Houston Astros | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Miami Marlins | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
4%
37%
9%
40%
3%
10%