Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
6%
Limited history+2.4pp
24h activity $47KCloses 13 Sept 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 0% probability for this outcome, a +0.05pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
0%Recent probability movement (up 0.1pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
0%
24h Change
+0.05pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
31
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.1pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | 6.0% | +2.4pp | $33K | active |
| Katie Boulter | 0.1% | +0.1pp | $18K | active |
| Iva Jovic | 1.1% | +0.6pp | $17K | active |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 0.4% | +0.3pp | $16K | active |
| Lilli Tagger | 0.3% | +0.2pp | $7K | active |
| Taylor Townsend | 0.1% | +0.05pp | $17K | active |
| Maria Sakkari | 0.1% | — | $12K | active |
| Sloane Stephens | 0.3% | +0.2pp | $18K | active |
| Diane Parry | 0.1% | +0.1pp | $11K | active |
| Maya Joint | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Marta Kostyuk | 3.5% | -0.3pp | $21K | active |
| Leylah Fernandez | 0.5% | +0.4pp | $16K | active |
| Coco Gauff | 17.9% | +0.4pp | $20K | active |
| Qinwen Zheng | 1.0% | -0.05pp | $24K | active |
| Anastasia Potapova | 0.1% | — | $29K | active |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 23.5% | +1.0pp | $20K | active |
| Amanda Anisimova | 4.3% | -0.1pp | $27K | active |
| Alexandra Eala | 2.5% | -0.8pp | $30K | active |
| Sofia Kenin | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Mirra Andreeva | 5.5% | +2.0pp | $25K | active |
| Marie Bouzkova | 0.2% | +0.05pp | $27K | active |
| Emma Navarro | 0.3% | -0.05pp | $18K | active |
| Iga Swiatek | 14.5% | +0.5pp | $27K | active |
| Sorana Cirstea | 0.6% | +0.3pp | $21K | active |
| Jasmine Paolini | 0.3% | — | $22K | active |
| Naomi Osaka | 6.0% | -0.1pp | $22K | active |
| Linda Noskova | 2.0% | -0.3pp | $23K | active |
| Paula Badosa | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $21K | active |
| Ann Li | 0.1% | — | $17K | active |
| Elina Svitolina | 1.9% | -0.1pp | $21K | active |
| Elise Mertens | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $23K | active |
| Katerina Siniakova | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Diana Shnaider | 0.8% | -0.1pp | $17K | active |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0.1% | — | $20K | active |
| Donna Vekic | 0.1% | — | $9K | active |
| Jessica Pegula | 9.7% | +0.05pp | $19K | active |
| Madison Keys | 0.8% | -0.1pp | $16K | active |
| Karolina Muchova | 2.3% | -1.1pp | $24K | active |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0.2% | -0.3pp | $25K | active |
| Nadia Podoroska | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Caty McNally | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Magdalena Frech | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Magda Linette | 0.1% | — | $19K | active |
| Zeynep Sonmez | 0.1% | — | $18K | active |
| Daria Kasatkina | 0.1% | — | $37K | active |
| Cristina Bucsa | 0.1% | — | $16K | active |
| Belinda Bencic | 0.1% | -0.6pp | $25K | awaiting resolution |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Tereza Valentova | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Janice Tjen | 0.1% | — | $19K | awaiting resolution |
| Xiyu Wang | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Emma Raducanu | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Marketa Vondrousova | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Victoria Mboko | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Dayana Yastremska | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Clara Tauson | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Maja Chwalinska | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Sara Bejlek | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Peyton Stearns | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Daria Snigur | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Viktorija Golubic | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Camila Osorio | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 108.2% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 13 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
6%
0%
1%
0%
0%
0%