Sport

Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Current implied probability

28%

Market data currentStable consensus

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Signal: Medium

Current

28%

24h Change

0.0pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

100

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 27.5%
No implied probability: 72.5%
Liquidity: $15K
24h activity: $507
Lifetime volume: $89K
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 17 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC

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Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Source event comparison

Related outcomes in one view

Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.

Outcome	Probability	24h change	Liquidity	State
Houston Dynamo FC	2.3%	+0.2pp	$33K	active
Colorado Rapids	0.5%	+0.2pp	$28K	active
Charlotte FC	1.4%	—	$33K	active
Nashville SC	12.8%	+1.8pp	$22K	active
New York City FC	2.0%	—	$42K	active
FC Dallas	1.7%	+0.5pp	$22K	active
San Jose Earthquakes	1.9%	—	$37K	active
Inter Miami CF	27.5%	—	$15K	active
San Diego FC	1.2%	-0.5pp	$37K	active
Los Angeles FC	10.5%	—	$20K	active
Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14.8%	—	$43K	active
Chicago Fire FC	5.2%	+0.1pp	$27K	active
Columbus Crew	1.4%	—	$38K	active
Real Salt Lake	1.6%	—	$36K	active
Orlando City SC	1.4%	—	$24K	active
FC Cincinnati	4.2%	—	$39K	active
Seattle Sounders FC	4.0%	—	$27K	active
New York Red Bulls	1.6%	—	$40K	active
Minnesota United FC	0.8%	—	$31K	active
Philadelphia Union	0.3%	—	$35K	active
Atlanta United FC	0.3%	—	$37K	active
Portland Timbers	0.3%	—	$28K	active
St. Louis City SC	0.8%	—	$27K	active
Austin FC	0.1%	—	$35K	active
Sporting Kansas City	0.3%	—	$33K	active
CF Montréal	0.2%	—	$33K	active
New England Revolution	1.4%	—	$24K	active
Toronto FC	0.3%	—	$39K	active
LA Galaxy	0.8%	—	$40K	active
D.C. United	0.7%	—	$34K	active

Probability sum: 102.1% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Market close time (source timestamp): 19 Dec 2026, 00:00 UTC