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Sport

Will Fenerbahçe Beko win Turkey BSL?

86%Stale dataStale / needs refresh+36.9pp (24h)

Probability moved sharply over 24h. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

86%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 36.9pp. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale; liquidity is $32 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
86.5%
No implied probability
13.5%
Liquidity
$32
Market Activity
$143
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
26 Jun 2026, 22:38 UTC
View on Polymarket

AI Market Brief

AI brief generated from stored market data at 30 Jun 2026, 20:29 UTC

What this market asks

Will Fenerbahçe Beko win Turkey BSL?

Current market read

This market asks whether Fenerbahçe Beko will be the champion of the Turkey BSL. The current market-implied probability is 86.45%, with a 24h movement of 36.85 percentage points. This is one outcome market within the broader "Turkey BSL: Winner" event, so the volume and liquidity shown reflect this outcome's market activity only.

Key takeaways

  • Current market-implied probability is 86.45%, indicating strong market attention on this outcome.
  • 24h movement is 36.85 percentage points, showing a large recent change in pricing.
  • Volume is 142.65 with liquidity of 32.1535 on this outcome's market activity.

Risks & uncertainties

  • volume24h is unavailable.
  • This is a grouped outcome market, so the figures reflect this outcome only, not the full event.
  • Resolution source is null, so the stored description is the only resolution detail available.

Resolution summary

The market resolves to "Yes" if the listed team, Fenerbahçe Beko, is determined to be the champion of the Turkey BSL. It resolves to "No" if the team cannot be named champion under the league rules, including if it is eliminated. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared by then, it resolves to "Other". No separate resolution-source field is stored; resolution details are based on the market description.

Built from stored Polymarket market data. No external news feed.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Turkey BSL. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Turkey BSL per the rules of Turkey BSL (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Turkey BSL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 1 Dec 2026, 03:59 UTC

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