Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data stale
Will Beşiktaş Gain win Turkey BSL?
13%
Limited history-35.7pp
24h activity $61KCloses 1 Dec 2026
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
86%Probability moved sharply over 24h. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
86%
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 36.9pp. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale; liquidity is $32 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beşiktaş Gain | 13.3% | -35.7pp | $153 | active |
| Fenerbahçe Beko | 86.5% | +36.9pp | $32 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
AI brief generated from stored market data at 30 Jun 2026, 20:29 UTC
Will Fenerbahçe Beko win Turkey BSL?
This market asks whether Fenerbahçe Beko will be the champion of the Turkey BSL. The current market-implied probability is 86.45%, with a 24h movement of 36.85 percentage points. This is one outcome market within the broader "Turkey BSL: Winner" event, so the volume and liquidity shown reflect this outcome's market activity only.
The market resolves to "Yes" if the listed team, Fenerbahçe Beko, is determined to be the champion of the Turkey BSL. It resolves to "No" if the team cannot be named champion under the league rules, including if it is eliminated. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared by then, it resolves to "Other". No separate resolution-source field is stored; resolution details are based on the market description.
AI summaries are built from stored Polymarket market data, not unsourced external knowledge.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the Turkey BSL. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Turkey BSL per the rules of Turkey BSL (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Turkey BSL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Dec 2026, 03:59 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
13%