EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

5%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTCLow-confidence move+3.0pp (24h)

Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because a confidence cap is active in the latest market state.

Signal: Low

Current

5%

24h Change

+3.0pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

8

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is up 3.0pp. Liquidity and activity are strong enough to treat this as a more reliable consensus shift.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
4.7%
No implied probability
95.3%
Liquidity
$5K
Market Activity
$27K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 03:01 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025-26 PFA Players' Player of the Year. If two or more players are announced as winners of the 2026 PFA Players’ Player of the Year award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no 2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Professional Footballers’ Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 31 Aug 2026, 23:55 UTC

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