Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
2%
Limited history-0.05pp
24h activity $818Closes 31 Aug 2026
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Current implied probability
20%Probability changed slightly over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.
Signal: LowCurrent
20%
24h Change
+2.0pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is up 2.0pp. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read; liquidity is $2K and 24h activity is $892. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Rice | 19.5% | +2.0pp | $2K | active |
| Erling Haaland | 1.8% | -0.05pp | $4K | active |
| Bruno Fernandes | 77.5% | -4.5pp | $2K | active |
| Rayan Cherki | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $11K | active |
| William Saliba | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Bukayo Saka | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Jeremy Doku | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Morgan Rogers | 0.1% | — | $5K | active |
| Phil Foden | 0.1% | — | $4K | active |
| Estevao | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Moises Caicedo | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Cole Palmer | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Eberechi Eze | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Santos Matheus Cunha | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
| Martin Zubimendi | 0.1% | — | $3K | active |
Probability sum: 99.6% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025-26 PFA Players' Player of the Year. If two or more players are announced as winners of the 2026 PFA Players’ Player of the Year award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no 2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Professional Footballers’ Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Aug 2026, 23:55 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
2%
78%
0%
0%
0%
0%