Politics
MediumFresh
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $533Closes 6 Sept 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching politics markets.
Showing 217-252 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $514Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $502Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido Novo (NOVO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $499Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $491Closes 13 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Podemos (PODEMOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.2ppVol $478Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $474Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido da Social Democracia Brasileira (PSDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $432Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
LowStale data
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $428Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $424Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $418Closes 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $397Closes 30 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $377Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $364Closes 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.7pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.7ppVol $356Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $337Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will União Brasil (UNIÃO) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Included because probability moved -4.8pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
0%
-4.8ppVol $334Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Included because probability moved -3.9pp with fresh data and medium signal quality.
Meaningful move
0%
-3.9ppVol $334Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+1.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-1.2ppVol $334Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Progressistas (PP) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $334Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $334Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $334Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $326Closes 20 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $326Closes 20 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $326Closes 20 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $326Closes 20 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $326Closes 20 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $320Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $320Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Federação PSOL REDE (PSOL-REDE) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $308Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $305Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido Novo (NOVO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $301Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $293Closes 5 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $292Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $292Closes 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Federação Renovação Solidária (PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $292Closes 4 Oct 2026
Avg 24h move 1.6pp367 markets with notable movementCombined activity $15.6M
Back to homepage analytics