Politics
MediumFresh
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $3KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching politics markets.
Showing 181-216 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $3KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $3KCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $3KCloses 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowStale data
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.05ppVol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $3KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $2KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowStale data
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
+0.1ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumStale data
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
100%
+1.1ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Joshua Vasquez be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $2KCloses 18 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
100%
-0.05ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $2KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 13 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ernest Audino be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $1KCloses 18 Aug 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $976Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $975Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowStale data
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni by December 31, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
+0.3ppVol $946Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowStale data
Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
99%
Vol $889Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $872Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $871Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $762Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.1ppVol $761Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $728Closes 30 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $708Closes 20 Sept 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp378 markets with notable movementCombined activity $54.6M
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