Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 36 of 360 matching politics markets.
Showing 145-180 of 360 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.3pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.3ppVol $7KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $7KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $6KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
1%
-0.1ppVol $6KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.1pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.1ppVol $6KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $6KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.05ppVol $5KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $5KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $4KCloses 10 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $4KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $4KCloses 30 Sept 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $4KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $4KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $3KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp385 markets with notable movementCombined activity $208.2M
Back to homepage analytics