Politics
LowFresh
Diddy released from custody in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
23%
+4.5ppVol $15Closes 31 Dec 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 19 of 199 matching politics markets.
Showing 181-199 of 199 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
LowFresh
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
35%
-4.5ppVol $10Closes 30 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Romanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?
Low-confidence: move is +8.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
-8.0ppVol $10Closes 31 Jul 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Evo Morales arrested by July 31?
Low-confidence: move is +13.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
34%
-13.5ppVol $9Closes 31 Jul 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
47%
+4.0ppVol $9Closes 8 Sept 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Low-confidence: move is +3.9pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
13%
+3.9ppVol $9Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
72%
+4.5ppVol $8Closes 18 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
32%
+3.0ppVol $7Closes 4 Aug 2026
Politics
LowFresh
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
20%
-4.5ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Low-confidence: move is +6.3pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
37%
-6.3ppVol $5Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
29%
-3.0ppVol $5Closes 3 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?
Low-confidence: move is +4.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
15%
-4.0ppVol $5Closes 4 Nov 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
27%
+5.0ppVol $4Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
21%
-3.0ppVol $4Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
-3.5ppVol $3Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31?
Low-confidence: move is +5.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
38%
-5.0ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Israel make Eric Adams a citizen?
Low-confidence: move is +4.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
16%
+4.5ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Donald Trump visit Massachusetts in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.0pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
50%
+3.0ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Politics
LowFresh
Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026?
Low-confidence: move is +3.5pp but liquidity, activity, or history is thin.
Low-confidence move
51%
-3.5ppVol $0Closes 31 Dec 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp378 markets with notable movementCombined activity $250K
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