Politics
MediumFresh
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $14KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Category
Politics
Elections, policy outcomes, and legislative probability intelligence.
3,651 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 27 of 99 matching politics markets.
Showing 73-99 of 99 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $14KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $14KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.2pp).
Stable consensus
0%
+0.2ppVol $13KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $13KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $13KCloses 4 Oct 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $13KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $13KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $13KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $12KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $11KCloses 7 Nov 2028
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $10KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
0%
-0.05ppVol $10KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
1%
Vol $10KCloses 30 Apr 2027
Politics
MediumFresh
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Resolution watch: market is near-certain and close to deadline — not a fresh probability signal.
Resolution watch
99%
-0.1ppVol $10KCloses 8 Jul 2026
Avg 24h move 1.7pp387 markets with notable movementCombined activity $378.4M
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