Geopolitics
LowStale data
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Category
Geopolitics
Tariffs, diplomacy, and conflict-related market-implied probability analytics.
327 markets in scope in this category.
Showing 14 of 50 matching geopolitics markets.
Showing 37-50 of 50 markets.
Markets in this category
Active markets ranked by recent activity and liquidity.
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (+0.05pp).
Stable consensus
1%
+0.05ppVol $2KCloses 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
-0.5ppVol $1KCloses —
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $468Closes 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $375Closes 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $335Closes 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
Vol $169Closes —
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
1%
-0.1ppVol $101Closes 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.8ppVol $73Closes —
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $71Closes 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.1ppVol $43Closes —
Geopolitics
MediumFresh
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Stable consensus — high liquidity but negligible 24h move (0.0pp).
Stable consensus
0%
Vol $35Closes 31 Dec 2026
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.05ppVol $30Closes —
Geopolitics
LowStale data
Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?
Excluded from lead ranking because data is stale.
Stale / needs refresh
0%
-0.4ppVol $10Closes —
Avg 24h move 1.5pp43 markets with notable movementCombined activity $4.3M
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