EAEventAlpha
Crypto

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

9%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTCLow-confidence move+2.5pp (24h)

Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.

Signal: Low

Current

9%

24h Change

+2.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

6

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun2 Jul3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is up 2.5pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
9.0%
No implied probability
91.0%
Liquidity
$4K
Market Activity
$15K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the number of unique humans verified on World Network, found in the “n_verifications” value at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, exceeds 30,000,000 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official World Network metrics page, available at https://metrics.worldcoin.org/, specifically the “n_verifications” value, which represents the number of unique humans verified on World Network. This market is based solely on the “n_verifications” value posted on the official World Network metrics page (https://metrics.worldcoin.org/), not on data from third-party analytics dashboards or unofficial sources. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official World Network figures.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC

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