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Final recorded probability
100%Final outcome: Yes
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
100%
24h Change
+11.4pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 3.20 | 3.0% | -1.4pp | $12K | active |
| ↑ 2.60 | 5.5% | +1.0pp | $11K | active |
| ↑ 3.40 | 3.2% | -0.1pp | $12K | active |
| ↓ 0.20 | 2.8% | — | $18K | active |
| ↓ 0.60 | 17.5% | — | $9K | active |
| ↑ 5.00 | 1.3% | — | $28K | active |
| ↑ 4.20 | 2.0% | -0.1pp | $19K | active |
| ↓ 0.40 | 7.0% | — | $13K | active |
| ↓ 0.80 | 49.0% | — | $9K | active |
| ↑ 2.80 | 5.2% | -0.1pp | $10K | active |
| ↑ 3.00 | 3.8% | — | $12K | active |
| ↑ 3.80 | 3.5% | +0.1pp | $12K | active |
| ↑ 3.60 | 3.0% | — | $12K | active |
| ↑ 4.00 | 2.0% | -0.1pp | $12K | active |
| ↓ 2.00 | 100.0% | +8.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 1.80 | 100.0% | +8.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 1.60 | 100.0% | +13.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↑ 2.40 | 100.0% | +22.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 1.20 | 100.0% | +43.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 1.40 | 100.0% | +19.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| ↓ 1.00 | 100.0% | +11.4pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.