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Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
-57.8pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or LaLiga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 75.0% | +7.5pp | $70 | active |
| Real Madrid | 0.0% | -20.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Atlético de Madrid | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| FC Barcelona | 0.0% | -19.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Espanyol | 0.0% | -49.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Valencia | 0.0% | -57.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Girona | 0.0% | -1.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Real Oviedo | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Villarreal | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Athletic Club | 0.0% | -49.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Rayo Vallecano | 0.0% | -49.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Celta Vigo | 0.0% | -49.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Sevilla | 0.0% | -9.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Levante | 0.0% | -9.4pp | $0 | resolved |
| Osasuna | 0.0% | -49.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Real Betis | 0.0% | -44.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Real Sociedad | 0.0% | -44.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Mallorca | 0.0% | -47.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alavés | 0.0% | -46.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Elche | 0.0% | -45.0pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.