EAEventAlpha
Crypto

Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?

13%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTCLow-confidence move-1.5pp (24h)

Probability changed modestly over 24h. Signal quality is low because activity is not strong enough for a high-confidence read.

Signal: Low

Current

13%

24h Change

-1.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

6

0%25%50%75%100%30 Jun2 Jul3 Jul4 Jul

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.5pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
12.5%
No implied probability
87.5%
Liquidity
$894
Market Activity
$14K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $3B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s United Stablecoin page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoin/united-stables A data point on the DefiLlama "Total circ" chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 1 Jan 2027, 05:00 UTC

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