Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?
6%
Limited history-3.3pp
24h activity $2KCloses 31 Aug 2026
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Current implied probability
0%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
0%
24h Change
-0.1pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $330 and 24h activity is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 6.0% | -3.3pp | $2K | active |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.6% | +1.6pp | $1K | active |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4.5% | -0.8pp | $303 | active |
| Chicago Bears | 0.8% | — | $201 | active |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0.6% | — | $1K | active |
| New England Patriots | 0.7% | +0.1pp | $453 | active |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0.9% | -0.05pp | $235 | active |
| Baltimore Ravens | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $330 | active |
| Los Angeles Rams | 0.5% | — | $305 | active |
| Buffalo Bills | 0.3% | — | $464 | active |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1.8% | -2.1pp | $215 | active |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0.6% | -0.05pp | $221 | active |
| New York Giants | 0.4% | — | $771 | active |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.5% | — | $390 | active |
Probability sum: 20.4% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or the acquiring team.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Aug 2026, 23:55 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
6%
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1%
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1%