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Last recorded probability
0%Trading is no longer treated as active while the final result is pending. The figures below are historical and excluded from live rankings and signals.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 27 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McKenna | 99.3% | +0.5pp | $13K | awaiting resolution |
| Ivar Stenberg | 1.2% | -0.4pp | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Chase Reid | 0.6% | +0.05pp | $7K | awaiting resolution |
| Viggo Björck | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Tynan Lawrence | 0.1% | — | $5K | awaiting resolution |
| Nikita Shcherbakov | 0.1% | — | $5K | awaiting resolution |
| Keaton Verhoeff | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Maddox Dagenais | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Alberts Smits | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Oscar Hemming | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Ryan Lin | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Marcus Nordmark | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| JP Hurlbert | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Caleb Malhotra | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Carson Carels | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Ilya Morozov | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Brooks Rogowski | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Alexander Command | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Ethan Belchetz | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Jack Hextall | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Mathis Preston | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Adam Nemec | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Daxon Rudolph | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Xavier Villeneuve | 0.1% | -0.05pp | $5K | awaiting resolution |
| Oliver Suvanto | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Elton Hermansson | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Wyatt Cullen | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Adam Novotný | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Juho Piiparinen | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Mikey Berchild | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Niklas Aaram-Olsen | 0.1% | — | $6K | awaiting resolution |
| Malte Gustafsson | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Giorgos Pantelas | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Alessandro Di Iorio | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Nikita Klepov | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Ryan Roobroeck | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Yegor Shilov | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Adam Goljer | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Tomas Chrenko | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Pierce Mbuyi | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| William Hakansson | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Liam Ruck | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Luke Schairer | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Oscar Holmertz | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Adam Valentini | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Casey Mutryn | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Beckham Edwards | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Jaxon Cover | 0.1% | — | $4K | awaiting resolution |
| Victor Plante | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
| Simas Ignatavicius | 0.1% | — | $3K | awaiting resolution |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.