Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
14%
+0.5ppRecent probability movement (down 1.2pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumProbability history will appear after additional syncs.
1%
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed modestly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.2pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
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