Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
24%
Limited history-4.0pp
24h activity $4KCloses 28 Sept 2026
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
4%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
4%
24h Change
-0.1pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $9K and 24h activity is $12. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 23.5% | -4.0pp | $3K | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 46.5% | -7.5pp | $2K | active |
| San Diego Padres | 62.0% | +1.0pp | $2K | active |
| Seattle Mariners | 31.5% | +11.5pp | $2K | active |
| Miami Marlins | 11.0% | +3.0pp | $4K | active |
| Minnesota Twins | 16.0% | +1.0pp | $3K | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 72.5% | +0.5pp | $5K | active |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 14.5% | +1.5pp | $4K | active |
| Baltimore Orioles | 28.5% | +4.0pp | $1K | active |
| Houston Astros | 68.0% | -7.5pp | $2K | active |
| Boston Red Sox | 89.5% | +1.5pp | $5K | active |
| Texas Rangers | 26.0% | -1.0pp | $3K | active |
| Washington Nationals | 4.0% | -0.1pp | $9K | active |
| Detroit Tigers | 27.5% | -2.0pp | $3K | active |
| Cincinnati Reds | 2.8% | -0.7pp | $3K | active |
| Chicago Cubs | 96.5% | — | $5K | active |
| Cleveland Guardians | 27.5% | -5.0pp | $2K | active |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 6.0% | +0.5pp | $3K | active |
| Chicago White Sox | 75.0% | +3.0pp | $2K | active |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.8% | -0.05pp | $1K | active |
| New York Yankees | 96.8% | +1.7pp | $3K | active |
| Los Angeles Angels | 1.6% | +0.2pp | $12K | active |
| New York Mets | 2.4% | — | $19K | active |
| Athletics | 0.9% | — | $4K | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 98.9% | +0.8pp | $13K | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 97.2% | +0.3pp | $4K | active |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 98.5% | +1.9pp | $4K | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.8% | — | $3K | active |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 99.5% | — | $4K | active |
| Colorado Rockies | 1.0% | -3.1pp | $2K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 MLB Playoffs per the rules of the MLB. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will not be considered part of the MLB Playoffs. If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full 12-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by MLB within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
24%
47%
62%
32%
11%
16%