Sport
Signal: LowMarket data current
Will the Miami Marlins have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?
1%
Limited history
24h activity $9Closes 28 Sept 2026
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Current implied probability
1%Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
1%
24h Change
+0.2pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.2pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $672 and 24h activity is $9. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | 0.5% | — | $934 | active |
| Texas Rangers | 0.6% | +0.2pp | $672 | active |
| Boston Red Sox | 96.5% | +0.3pp | $31K | active |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 2.1% | -1.1pp | $789 | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 1.5% | +0.7pp | $700 | active |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.4% | +0.05pp | $922 | active |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.5% | +0.05pp | $897 | active |
| San Diego Padres | 0.3% | +0.1pp | $666 | active |
| Washington Nationals | 0.3% | -0.1pp | $920 | active |
| Seattle Mariners | 0.6% | +0.1pp | $615 | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.3% | +0.2pp | $1K | active |
| New York Yankees | 0.4% | +0.1pp | $705 | active |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0.5% | +0.1pp | $943 | active |
| Chicago White Sox | 0.1% | — | $900 | active |
| New York Mets | 0.1% | — | $898 | active |
| Houston Astros | 0.1% | — | $764 | active |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.1% | — | $2K | active |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0.4% | — | $681 | active |
| Chicago Cubs | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $621 | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.1% | — | $853 | active |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.1% | — | $577 | active |
| Oakland Athletics | 0.1% | — | $750 | active |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.1% | — | $656 | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.1% | — | $870 | active |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.1% | — | $701 | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0.1% | — | $522 | active |
Probability sum: 105.7% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the team that records the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the longest winning streak, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more total wins during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team that has the better record against teams over .500. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the longest winning streak cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
1%
97%
2%
2%
0%
0%