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Final recorded probability
0%Final outcome: No
This market is final. The figures below are retained as a historical record and are excluded from live rankings and signals.
Final / last recorded
0%
24h Change
-0.5pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Final or last-recorded Polymarket figures retained for historical reference.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Historical probability path. Live movement analysis is not shown for this market status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 29.0% | -9.5pp | $3K | active |
| Chicago Cubs | 5.2% | -0.1pp | $2K | active |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 22.0% | -1.0pp | $1K | active |
| Atlanta Braves | 19.5% | -1.5pp | $2K | active |
| Houston Astros | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $815 | active |
| Miami Marlins | 0.1% | -0.1pp | $968 | active |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.3% | +0.1pp | $2K | active |
| San Diego Padres | 1.3% | +0.8pp | $1K | active |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 0.2% | -0.2pp | $315 | active |
| Boston Red Sox | 3.3% | +0.2pp | $822 | active |
| New York Yankees | 5.3% | — | $3K | active |
| Chicago White Sox | 1.1% | — | $1K | active |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 1.1% | — | $788 | active |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 15.5% | +1.0pp | $1K | active |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cleveland Guardians | 0.0% | -0.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| Texas Rangers | 0.0% | -1.9pp | $0 | resolved |
| New York Mets | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Washington Nationals | 0.0% | -2.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.0% | -0.8pp | $0 | resolved |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.0% | -3.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Seattle Mariners | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Colorado Rockies | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Athletics | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| San Francisco Giants | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.