EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

100%Stale dataStale / needs refresh+60.5pp (24h)

Recent probability movement (up 60.5pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.

Signal: Medium

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

100%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 60.5pp. EventAlpha snapshot history is still sparse — use Polymarket volume/liquidity as the primary confidence check.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
100.0%
No implied probability
0.0%
Liquidity
$106K
Market Activity
$591K
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
24 Jun 2026, 22:36 UTC
View on Polymarket

AI Market Brief

AI brief generated from stored market data at 26 Jun 2026, 22:48 UTC

What this market asks

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Current market read

This market asks whether Switzerland will win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It is one outcome within the wider "World Cup Group B Winner" event, so the volume and liquidity shown here reflect this outcome's market activity only. The current market-implied probability is 99.95%, and the 24h movement is +60.45 percentage points.

Key takeaways

  • This outcome's market activity shows high volume and liquidity for a single group-winner outcome.
  • The current market-implied probability is near 100%, alongside a large 24h move.
  • It sits in a sports category tied to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group B winner market.

Risks & uncertainties

  • The market is still active and closes on 2026-06-27T00:00:00.000Z.
  • Resolution depends on the official Group B winner and the stated tiebreak procedure if needed.
  • The stored data does not provide the actual group-stage result yet.

Resolution summary

The market resolves according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is used. If the group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other". The primary resolution source is listed as FIFA, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Built from stored Polymarket market data. No external news feed.

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 27 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC

Related Markets

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